The Black Swan

The Impact of the Highly Improbable

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Beschreibung

<p><b>The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty</b></p><p>What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?</p><p>This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.</p><p>'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, <i>Independent on Sunday</i></p><p>'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, <i>Independent</i></p>

Artikeldetails

EAN

9780141034591

Sprache

Englisch

Einband / Art

Taschenbuch

Maße

127 x 194 x 33 mm

Erscheinungsjahr

2008

Verlag / Hersteller

Penguin Books Ltd (UK)